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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-1.39+4.11vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.54+1.24vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-1.25+1.62vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.27-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.48+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.36-0.95vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.84-2.95vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-2.69-0.68vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.60-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11University of Oregon-1.397.5%1st Place
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3.24Western Washington University-0.5422.1%1st Place
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4.62Oregon State University-1.2511.2%1st Place
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3.06Oregon State University-0.2724.6%1st Place
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5.26University of Oregon-1.487.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Oregon-1.367.8%1st Place
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4.05Western Washington University-0.8414.9%1st Place
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7.32Gonzaga University-2.692.3%1st Place
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7.29Gonzaga University-2.602.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dylan Zink | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 5.2% |
Allison Sasaki | 22.1% | 20.4% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Ethan Wickman | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 24.6% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Kate Ryan | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 6.0% |
Molly McLeod | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
Jack Beeson | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
Kevin McGann | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 23.4% | 41.1% |
Gabi Feleciano | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 22.8% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.