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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.64+4.70vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.37+4.56vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University0.10+7.88vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.86+0.09vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.94+2.22vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.42+2.86vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.10-5.49vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+1.16vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.20+0.53vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina0.00+0.38vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology0.78-3.40vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.41-0.35vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.31-7.09vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-1.03vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.52-3.03vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.40-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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6.56University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.88Wake Forest University0.100.0%1st Place
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4.41Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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8.22Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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9.86Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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2.51College of Charleston3.100.4%1st Place
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10.16Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.53The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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11.38University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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8.6Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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12.65Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.91North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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13.97Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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12.97University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.59Georgia Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vieira | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.6% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 37.5% | 22.9% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Noah Jost | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 6.3% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 32.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 16.4% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.