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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+1.29vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.42+6.17vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.17+0.84vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20+5.06vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.94+2.05vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.31-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.37-1.45vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.69vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.00-0.32vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+0.86vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.40-1.38vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.41-2.49vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.86-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29College of Charleston3.100.4%1st Place
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8.17Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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3.84Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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9.06The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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7.05Clemson University0.940.0%1st Place
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5.99North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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7.31Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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8.62Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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9.68University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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11.86Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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10.62Georgia Institute of Technology-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.51Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 41.0% | 25.2% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 15.1% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Usher | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Noah Jost | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 41.1% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 15.8% |
| Steven Hardee | 11.2% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.