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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.34+9.14vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+2.99vs Predicted
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3Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+6.13vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.24+2.76vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61+0.61vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.62-0.37vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.48-0.97vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35-4.34vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.60-0.03vs Predicted
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10Wake Forest University-0.05+1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.72-2.29vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.79-3.32vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.18-1.37vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.20+0.60vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.06-3.65vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.71-2.44vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-2.06vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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4.99University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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9.13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.76Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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5.61Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.63Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.03North Carolina State University1.480.1%1st Place
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3.66College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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8.97Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.54Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Miami0.720.1%1st Place
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8.68Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.6University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.35Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.56Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.94Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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15.08Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 22.6% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Long | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 19.4% | 22.7% |
| Mason Howell | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 12.0% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 20.8% | 26.9% |
| William Meade | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.