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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+3.80vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+3.51vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+0.59vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.34+5.78vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.48+0.84vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.24+0.86vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.18+3.27vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.60+0.01vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.72-1.63vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.79-2.62vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-1.20+2.18vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University-0.05-1.86vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.37+0.59vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-0.79vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.06-4.87vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.62-11.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.51Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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3.59College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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9.78The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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5.84North Carolina State University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.86Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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8.72Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.01Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Miami0.720.0%1st Place
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8.38Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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14.18University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.14Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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14.59Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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14.21Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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11.13Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.63Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 22.3% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Robert Chase | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% |
| Brady Parks | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Long | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 24.7% | 24.7% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| William Meade | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 21.4% | 34.1% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 20.8% | 28.3% |
| Mason Howell | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.