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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.34+8.36vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+1.72vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35-0.48vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.24+1.43vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University-0.05+5.04vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.62-1.64vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+5.97vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.38+0.62vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-1.55vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.60-2.25vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.98-4.63vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.06-1.99vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-1.20+0.17vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.18-3.77vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.79-7.91vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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5.36Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.72University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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3.52College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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6.43Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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11.04Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.36Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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13.97Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Miami0.380.0%1st Place
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8.45Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.75Florida State University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.37North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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11.01Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.17University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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11.23University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.09Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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14.54Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.5% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Healey | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 23.6% | 24.9% |
| Brendan Jay | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Dawson Kohl | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brady Parks | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Brelage | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Mason Howell | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 22.5% | 26.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| William Meade | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.