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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+3.50vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+3.21vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.98+4.31vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.24+2.52vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University-0.05+5.60vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.79+2.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35-3.61vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.38+1.13vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.21+1.07vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+4.15vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.18+0.28vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.06-1.18vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-4.43vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.37+0.50vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-1.20-1.01vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.34-6.49vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.62-11.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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5.21Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.31North Carolina State University0.980.0%1st Place
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6.52Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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10.6Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.11Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.39College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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9.13University of Miami0.380.0%1st Place
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10.07Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.15Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.82Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.57Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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14.5Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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13.99University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.51The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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5.35Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 15.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Healey | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.3% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Jay | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Niah Ford | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 25.6% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Mason Howell | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| William Meade | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 34.8% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 21.9% | 25.6% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.