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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.18+8.25vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.79+4.00vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.21+4.86vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University-0.05+5.13vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.34+2.58vs Predicted
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8Rollins College1.24-1.55vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.62-3.50vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.61-4.69vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.98-3.52vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.60-0.32vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+0.33vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.06-4.08vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.43-6.67vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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4.59University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.0Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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9.86Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.13Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.58The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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6.45Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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5.5Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.31Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.48North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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8.52Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.68University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.33Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.92Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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14.68Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 24.8% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Niah Ford | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Milo Miller | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| May Proctor | 0.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 11.4% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 32.5% |
| Mason Howell | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| David Webb | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| William Meade | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.