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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.37vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+5.89vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.24+3.52vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.61+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86-0.41vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.62-0.59vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University-0.05+3.94vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.21+1.86vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.98-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.18+1.31vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.34-1.31vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.60+0.65vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-4.42vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.06-2.91vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.43-5.75vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-1.36vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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7.89Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.52Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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5.4Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.59University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.41Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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10.94Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.86Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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7.48North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.69The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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12.65University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.58Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.09Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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14.64Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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14.34Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 24.8% | 19.0% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 14.3% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Niah Ford | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| May Proctor | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 12.2% |
| Dawson Kohl | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mason Howell | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| David Webb | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| William Meade | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 37.5% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 20.6% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.