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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.54+2.17vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-0.27+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.36+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.48+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.39-0.39vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.84-2.24vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.25-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Western Washington University-0.5421.1%1st Place
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2.82Oregon State University-0.2726.8%1st Place
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4.5University of Oregon-1.369.8%1st Place
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4.82University of Oregon-1.488.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Oregon-1.399.0%1st Place
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3.76Western Washington University-0.8415.3%1st Place
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4.32Oregon State University-1.2510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Allison Sasaki | 21.1% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 26.8% | 23.2% | 18.7% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
Molly McLeod | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 21.4% |
Kate Ryan | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 26.9% |
Dylan Zink | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 21.7% |
Jack Beeson | 15.3% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% |
Ethan Wickman | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.