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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel0.34+8.36vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+2.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+0.43vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.62+1.38vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.24+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.43+3.45vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.61-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.18+3.11vs Predicted
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9Wake Forest University-0.05+2.12vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.21-0.01vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.79-2.89vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.06-1.03vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.98-5.52vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-5.31vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.60-2.42vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-1.60vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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3.43College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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5.38Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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6.39Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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5.34Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.12Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.99Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.11Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.97Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.48North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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8.69Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.58University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.4Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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14.62Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 14.3% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 22.3% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Webb | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Igoe | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% |
| Quinn Healey | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Niah Ford | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mason Howell | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Brelage | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 12.2% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 23.2% | 31.7% |
| William Meade | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.