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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+3.44vs Predicted
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2Rollins College1.24+4.24vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+0.36vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.62+1.28vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34+4.24vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+2.54vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.79+0.85vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.98-0.85vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.61-3.65vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.21-0.31vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.60+1.46vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-1.12+1.87vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.60-0.57vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.18-2.80vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-0.68vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.06-5.19vs Predicted
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17Wake Forest University-0.05-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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6.24Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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3.36College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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5.28Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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9.24The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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8.54Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.85Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.15North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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5.35Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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9.69Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.46University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Miami-1.120.0%1st Place
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12.43Georgia Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.32Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.81Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.76Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 16.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 24.6% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Dawson Kohl | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| May Proctor | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 11.0% |
| James Hopkins | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 27.2% |
| Annika Kaelin | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| William Meade | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 35.3% |
| Mason Howell | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Quinn Healey | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.