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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.24+5.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+1.52vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.62+1.22vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61+0.07vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University-0.05+4.77vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.34+2.27vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.21+1.54vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.18+0.89vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-1.12+2.74vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.79-4.24vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.98-5.76vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.06-3.29vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-1.20-1.19vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.60-3.68vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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3.32College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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4.52University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.22Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.07Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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10.77Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.27The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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9.54Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.32Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.74University of Miami-1.120.0%1st Place
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7.76Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.24North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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10.71Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.81University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.32Georgia Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.33Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 24.4% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Niah Ford | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| James Hopkins | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 21.3% | 23.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mason Howell | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 26.0% |
| Annika Kaelin | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% |
| William Meade | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 20.3% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.