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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+4.25vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+2.60vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+0.42vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.62+1.44vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.34+4.44vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University-0.05+5.07vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.24-0.45vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.98-0.74vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.79-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.38-0.65vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.06+0.01vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.18-0.71vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.37+1.55vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.60-1.29vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.21-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-1.20-1.78vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.6University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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3.42College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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9.44The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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11.07Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.55Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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7.26North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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8.18Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Miami0.380.0%1st Place
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11.01Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.55Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.71Georgia Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.01Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.22University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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8.65Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 13.9% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.0% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Milo Miller | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Jay | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Mason Howell | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| William Meade | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 39.1% |
| Annika Kaelin | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 12.5% |
| Niah Ford | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 29.9% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.