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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+2.64vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+2.42vs Predicted
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4Rollins College1.24+2.57vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.98+2.35vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.06+5.24vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University-0.05+3.96vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.34+1.52vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.60+3.93vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.62-4.70vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.38-1.39vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.79-3.91vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.60-0.17vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-5.27vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.21-4.86vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.18-4.57vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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4.64University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.42Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.57Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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7.35North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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11.24Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.96Wake Forest University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.52The Citadel0.340.0%1st Place
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12.93University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.3Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Miami0.380.0%1st Place
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8.09Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.83Georgia Institute of Technology-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.73Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.14Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.43University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.81Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 24.9% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mason Howell | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 6.1% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| May Proctor | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 11.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Jay | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Annika Kaelin | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.6% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Niah Ford | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.6% |
| William Meade | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.