Race 15B

saisa-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benjamin Dufour 27.5% 24.5% 15.0% 10.3% 9.6% 6.2% 3.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Milo Miller 8.8% 9.9% 12.2% 12.3% 10.5% 11.2% 9.5% 8.8% 6.8% 4.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Patrick Igoe 12.4% 14.4% 13.5% 13.9% 11.6% 9.7% 9.1% 6.6% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Kay Brunsvold 16.1% 17.0% 15.3% 13.4% 12.9% 8.8% 6.6% 4.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Tollefson 2.8% 3.0% 5.4% 6.4% 6.1% 6.4% 9.0% 8.7% 11.2% 9.9% 11.1% 10.5% 7.2% 2.3%
Dawson Kohl 5.0% 4.8% 5.3% 6.7% 8.8% 8.9% 9.9% 10.1% 10.4% 9.5% 8.4% 7.2% 3.9% 1.1%
Nilah Miller 7.1% 6.4% 7.9% 8.2% 8.0% 11.0% 9.0% 11.5% 9.9% 7.8% 6.4% 4.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Brendan Jay 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 5.8% 7.1% 7.2% 8.0% 10.1% 9.5% 11.0% 8.5% 9.1% 7.2% 2.5%
Niah Ford 3.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.1% 4.2% 6.0% 8.9% 9.2% 10.9% 11.8% 12.2% 11.0% 7.3% 3.3%
May Proctor 1.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.0% 1.6% 2.4% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 8.8% 12.2% 12.8% 21.6% 18.2%
Mason Howell 2.1% 2.5% 2.3% 3.7% 5.1% 5.1% 7.4% 6.8% 8.3% 11.1% 13.1% 12.9% 13.3% 6.3%
Ryan Brelage 7.1% 6.1% 7.9% 10.5% 11.1% 11.3% 8.3% 10.4% 9.9% 7.2% 3.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.5%
Annika Kaelin 2.0% 1.1% 2.7% 1.5% 2.6% 3.7% 4.0% 4.8% 5.4% 8.6% 11.1% 17.5% 18.1% 16.9%
William Meade 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 2.1% 2.3% 1.8% 3.3% 5.7% 7.4% 7.8% 17.3% 48.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.