← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.80vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.44+7.08vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.10+3.65vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.33+1.65vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.81+2.43vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.23+0.07vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.95vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.59+3.74vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.43-0.20vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.64-5.13vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.69+0.67vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.12-5.30vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.68-1.57vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.82-6.71vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.54vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.22-2.83vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-2.03vs Predicted
-
18University of New Hampshire0.35-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.08Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
-
6.65Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
5.65Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.43Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.07University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
11.74Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.8Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
-
4.87Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
-
11.67Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.7Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
11.43Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
-
7.29Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
14.46Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.17University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
14.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
-
15.28University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Jack Egan | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| William Michels | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 19.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.5% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 20.7% | 27.7% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.