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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.67vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+2.88vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.00+7.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+4.88vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.10+1.47vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.33-0.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82+0.51vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.44+0.86vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.33vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.77+4.63vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-3.29vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69-0.14vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-7.03vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.23vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-0.06vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.59-3.96vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.22-3.72vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.35-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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4.88Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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14.63Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.86Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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14.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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12.04Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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15.33University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 20.5% | 21.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 25.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 8.5% |
| Sam Harris | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.