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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.27+1.79vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.54+1.17vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-1.25+1.34vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.84-0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.36-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.48-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.39-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Oregon State University-0.2727.0%1st Place
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3.17Western Washington University-0.5421.6%1st Place
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4.34Oregon State University-1.2511.2%1st Place
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3.73Western Washington University-0.8414.8%1st Place
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4.54University of Oregon-1.368.8%1st Place
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4.79University of Oregon-1.488.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Oregon-1.398.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Tossavainen | 27.0% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Allison Sasaki | 21.6% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Ethan Wickman | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 16.9% |
| Jack Beeson | 14.8% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 8.7% |
| Molly McLeod | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 21.1% |
| Kate Ryan | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 24.9% |
| Dylan Zink | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.