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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+5.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+7.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.01vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-1.21vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+0.51vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-0.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.10vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.77+4.62vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.69+0.73vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.59+0.23vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.33-7.36vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+0.72vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.35+0.46vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.22-2.76vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.00-6.35vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.44-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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4.79Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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14.62Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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11.73Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.23Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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14.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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15.46University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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8.77Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 15.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 14.7% | 22.7% | 20.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Skylor Sweet | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 24.4% |
| Sam Harris | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 35.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 9.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Peter Busch | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.