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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.84vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.33+3.72vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.27+10.14vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.97vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10+0.43vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-0.62vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.00+2.30vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-1.69vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.44-1.06vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.59+0.88vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59+3.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-5.57vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.35vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.09-4.96vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.58vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.35-1.51vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.69-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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5.72Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.43Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.38Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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11.88Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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15.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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14.42Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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15.49University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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11.33Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| William Michels | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 25.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| Sam Harris | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 35.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.