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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+4.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+1.78vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.44+4.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+0.91vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.33-0.40vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+0.85vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.09+1.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-1.52vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.59+2.03vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.69+0.55vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.00-1.29vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.27-0.27vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.82-6.84vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-0.15vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.35-0.48vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.53vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.43-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.6Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.93Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.03Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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11.55Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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15.52University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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14.47Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 7.1% |
| William Michels | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 25.0% |
| Sam Harris | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 37.4% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.