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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.43+6.95vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+3.44vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.45vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63+1.97vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.68+4.48vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.29vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.59+2.77vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.82-2.50vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-3.56vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.23-5.88vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.44-4.47vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.69-2.78vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.22-2.02vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.53vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.35-1.53vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.680.0%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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11.22Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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14.47Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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15.47University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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14.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| William Michels | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 8.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 20.9% |
| Sam Harris | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 20.4% | 37.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.