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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+3.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+4.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.83vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.63+2.08vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+0.38vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.64-3.44vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.44-0.27vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.59+2.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.33vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.82-4.37vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.22-0.06vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.69-2.72vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.00-4.66vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.59-1.09vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.35-1.48vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.77-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.04University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.08Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.38Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.56Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.73Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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12.08Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.94University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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11.28Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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14.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.590.0%1st Place
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15.52University of New Hampshire0.350.0%1st Place
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14.3Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.6% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 8.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 26.9% |
| Sam Harris | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 36.9% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.