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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.05+4.23vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+5.54vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+2.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+4.94vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+2.57vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.50+4.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-1.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+6.38vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.25-1.28vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.45-2.67vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.91-1.74vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.59-5.14vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-1.99vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+1.14vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.83-2.00vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.60-5.56vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.66-6.86vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.28-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.73Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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5.94Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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14.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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7.72Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.14Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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14.54University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 23.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Chase Decker | 10.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Isaac Thompson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 32.8% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 8.4% |
| Porter Bell | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Marykate Hanus | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.