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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+6.85vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+5.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.25+5.11vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+2.12vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+0.16vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.05-0.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.66+3.07vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.32+2.32vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+4.51vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.60-0.54vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-4.30vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.50-2.52vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.91-5.10vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-3.88vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.77-9.89vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-0.92vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-0.26-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.11Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.15Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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14.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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10.46Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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16.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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15.6University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 19.3% | 22.8% | 16.4% |
| Porter Bell | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lee | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 10.5% | 23.6% | 44.3% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 14.2% | 27.3% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.