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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+8.27vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+5.69vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.45+4.32vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.60+6.20vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.25+2.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.72+0.26vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-0.98vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.50+2.56vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.03-3.84vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.41+6.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32+0.41vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05-6.64vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.30-5.42vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.91-5.84vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-1.59vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.22vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.66-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.2Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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16.12Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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5.36Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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14.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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15.78University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.9% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 11.4% | 23.9% | 43.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Blake Behrens | 13.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Henry Lee | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 21.7% | 15.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 27.1% | 35.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.