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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+8.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+3.25vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+3.39vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+3.62vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+0.14vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77+0.01vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.25+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.32+3.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-1.65vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.45-2.64vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.66-0.79vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.23-0.13vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-4.70vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-3.17vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.67vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.60-5.62vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.22vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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5.25Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.14Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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11.87Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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10.38Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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15.78University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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15.86Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Blake Behrens | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.9% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| William Hurd | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Luke Kenahan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 15.1% |
| Porter Bell | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 24.4% | 38.1% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 28.3% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.