← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.72+5.42vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.05+3.21vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.37+8.31vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.10+4.33vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.03+0.20vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.45+1.11vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.77-0.97vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.66vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.30-1.39vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.32+1.50vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.23+0.72vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-2.60vs Predicted
-
13Boston University1.60-2.81vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.66-4.20vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.67vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-0.26-0.23vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-0.98vs Predicted
-
18Boston College2.25-10.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.42Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
5.21Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
-
11.31Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.33University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
-
5.2Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
7.11Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.03Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
-
7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.61Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
11.5University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
11.72Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
-
9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
-
10.19Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
-
9.8Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
-
14.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
-
15.77University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
-
16.02Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
-
7.7Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| William Hurd | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Porter Bell | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Luke Kenahan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 21.7% | 13.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 24.2% | 36.6% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 23.3% | 42.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.