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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+8.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.66+8.29vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+4.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+1.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72+1.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+1.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.77-1.01vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.03-2.88vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.25-1.19vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.45-2.70vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32+0.39vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.60-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-4.74vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.23-2.65vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.65vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-4.80vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.23vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.41-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.05Brown University3.050.2%1st Place
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6.11Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.12Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.61Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.77University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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15.84Maine Maritime Academy-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake Behrens | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.3% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Porter Bell | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 15.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Ted Richardsson | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 24.8% | 37.8% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 12.5% | 26.7% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.