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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.54+2.33vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-0.27+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.39+2.04vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.48+1.19vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.25-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.36-0.93vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.84-3.00vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-2.69-0.57vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-2.60-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Western Washington University-0.5422.0%1st Place
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3.08Oregon State University-0.2723.6%1st Place
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5.04University of Oregon-1.398.6%1st Place
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5.19University of Oregon-1.488.1%1st Place
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4.65Oregon State University-1.259.9%1st Place
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5.07University of Oregon-1.368.0%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University-0.8415.3%1st Place
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7.43Gonzaga University-2.692.5%1st Place
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7.21Gonzaga University-2.602.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Sasaki | 22.0% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 23.6% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Zink | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 5.1% |
| Kate Ryan | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Ethan Wickman | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Molly McLeod | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 4.9% |
| Jack Beeson | 15.3% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Kevin McGann | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 23.3% | 42.4% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 24.6% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.