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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.28+5.48vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+2.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.97+4.51vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.36+1.91vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.61+7.96vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.13+0.80vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.16+3.36vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.80-0.10vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93-1.51vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College-0.01+1.21vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.95+3.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.90-4.15vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.94-5.70vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.68-0.95vs Predicted
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15Harvard University0.10-4.47vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.78-7.94vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.61-1.20vs Predicted
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18McGill University-0.77-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.2%1st Place
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7.51Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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12.96Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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10.36Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College-0.010.0%1st Place
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14.13University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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13.05University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.53Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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15.8Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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13.43McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 16.8% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 9.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Pierson Falk | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kique Ruiz | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| Kiana Beachy | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cole Amaral | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 45.6% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.