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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+3.34vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.97+5.60vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.90+4.75vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.28+2.13vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.94+2.40vs Predicted
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6Harvard University0.10+4.63vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.80+0.92vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.78-0.07vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.36-3.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-2.28vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College-0.01+0.07vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.16-1.34vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.61-0.09vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.68-0.97vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.77-1.46vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.95-1.84vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.61-1.26vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.13-11.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.2%1st Place
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7.6Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.4Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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10.63Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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7.93Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.87Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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11.07Bowdoin College-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.66Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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12.91Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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13.03University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.54McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
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14.16University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.74Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Yu | 17.3% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kiana Beachy | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sidney Moyer | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Amaral | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Pierson Falk | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kique Ruiz | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 9.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 8.9% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.0% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 44.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.