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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.97+6.55vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+4.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.28+3.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.97+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.13+1.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.78+2.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.94+0.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93-0.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.90-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.80-1.82vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.16-0.54vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College-0.01-0.66vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.10-2.56vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.77-0.73vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.68-1.74vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University-0.61-2.85vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.95-2.85vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.61-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.13Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.970.2%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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8.02Northeastern University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.42Bowdoin College0.940.1%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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10.46Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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11.34Bowdoin College-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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13.27McGill University-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.26University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.15Northeastern University-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.15University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.57Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emery Diemar | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Yu | 19.4% | 19.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cole Amaral | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Pierson Falk | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Cecilia Muller | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 11.5% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 10.6% |
| Adrien Blanc | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 18.1% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.