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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+4.01vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+6.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.14+2.22vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.03+4.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.81+1.20vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.65+0.72vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.11+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.29-0.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College-0.54+2.12vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.19-1.38vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.04-5.44vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.55-0.56vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.69+1.44vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.23-5.96vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.31vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.80-3.94vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.83-4.77vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-3.05-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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5.22Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University0.030.1%1st Place
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6.2Bowdoin College0.810.1%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island0.290.1%1st Place
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11.12Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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5.56Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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11.44Harvard University-0.550.0%1st Place
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14.44McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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13.69University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.06University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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12.23Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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16.89Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Riley Donahue | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| John Mason | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Owen Warren | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| William Denker | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Grace Ivancich | 12.1% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 28.1% | 12.6% |
| Grant Smith | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 6.9% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas David | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 2.7% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.