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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+4.06vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+6.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.03+6.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.49+0.25vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.81+1.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.65+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.19+1.47vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.04-2.53vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.11-0.31vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College-0.54+1.28vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.29-2.82vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.23-3.41vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.83-1.01vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.55-3.07vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.80-3.02vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.36-2.12vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.69-2.35vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-3.05-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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4.25Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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6.24Bowdoin College0.810.1%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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5.47Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island0.290.1%1st Place
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8.59Northeastern University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.99Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.98University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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13.88University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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14.65McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
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16.9Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Julian Dahiya | 18.0% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Donahue | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Warren | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 0.7% |
| John Mason | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grant Smith | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas David | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 8.9% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 29.0% | 13.4% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 13.0% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.