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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.03+8.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.14+3.29vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.65+3.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+3.95vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.25-0.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.04-0.56vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.81-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.19+0.30vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.11-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.80+2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.29-2.82vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.55-0.54vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.69+1.42vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.23-5.96vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.27vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.83-3.84vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College-0.54-5.85vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-3.05-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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5.29Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston University1.250.2%1st Place
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5.44Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.18Bowdoin College0.810.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.21University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Rhode Island0.290.1%1st Place
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11.46Harvard University-0.550.0%1st Place
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14.42McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.04Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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13.73University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.16Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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11.15Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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16.88Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Traver | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Gabby Collins | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 16.5% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Ivancich | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Donahue | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Denker | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| John Mason | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 28.9% | 12.8% |
| Grant Smith | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 21.0% | 7.1% |
| Nicholas David | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
| Owen Warren | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.