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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.49+3.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.65+4.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.03+6.25vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.19+4.27vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.25-0.18vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.81+0.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+1.04vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.04-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.29-1.06vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.59+1.51vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College-0.54+0.19vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.11-3.04vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.83-1.03vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.55-3.10vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.80-2.95vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.69-1.09vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.36-3.05vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.61-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Vermont0.190.0%1st Place
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4.82Boston University1.250.2%1st Place
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6.17Bowdoin College0.810.1%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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5.38Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island0.290.1%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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11.19Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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11.97Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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10.9Harvard University-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.05University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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14.91McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
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13.95University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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14.45Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Dahiya | 17.1% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| William Denker | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 16.4% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Donahue | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Grace Ivancich | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% |
| Owen Warren | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas David | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 31.6% |
| Devyn Weed | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 19.4% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.