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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+3.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.14+3.19vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.81+3.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.03+4.84vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College-0.54+5.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.04-0.62vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.65-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.19+0.23vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.11-0.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.78vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.36+2.89vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.55-0.53vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.59-1.93vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.29-6.23vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.83-2.93vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.69-1.09vs Predicted
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17Amherst College-1.61-2.31vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-0.80-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.19Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.26Bowdoin College0.810.1%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University0.030.1%1st Place
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10.95Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.38Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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13.89University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.47Harvard University-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.07Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island0.290.1%1st Place
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12.07Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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14.91McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
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14.69Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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11.88University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 14.1% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Donahue | 9.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Owen Warren | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Grace Ivancich | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Escandon | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| John Mason | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas David | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 30.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 28.5% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.