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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+3.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.65+4.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+5.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.04+1.38vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.49-0.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.03+2.99vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.29+1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.19+0.29vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College-0.54+2.12vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.55+1.37vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.81-4.75vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.83+0.48vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.80-1.11vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.36-0.37vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.59-3.74vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.69-1.13vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.11-8.20vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.61-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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5.38Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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4.11Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island0.290.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Vermont0.190.1%1st Place
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11.12Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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11.37Harvard University-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.25Bowdoin College0.810.1%1st Place
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12.48Boston University-0.830.0%1st Place
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11.89University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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13.63University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.26Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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14.87McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.8Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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14.48Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 13.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Ivancich | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 20.1% | 18.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 4.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| John Mason | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| William Denker | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Owen Warren | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Riley Donahue | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas David | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 17.8% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 31.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.