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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.32+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.47+2.66vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.76-0.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.27vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.03-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.66-1.09vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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2.45Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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3.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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6.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Luke Harris | 6.3% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Chapman Petersen | 33.6% | 25.3% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 27.2% | 25.6% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.9% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 16.6% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 10.9% | 1.6% |
| Will Cornell | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 24.3% | 18.7% | 4.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 39.2% | 16.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 13.5% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.