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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.76+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+1.58vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-0.36vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-2.05vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.03-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.66-2.07vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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2.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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6.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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3.95California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Petersen | 34.2% | 25.1% | 19.6% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 24.6% | 23.9% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 37.0% | 15.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.5% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 12.0% | 2.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 20.8% | 5.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 74.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.