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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+3.01vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.76+0.57vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+1.80vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.03+1.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.66+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-3.28vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.47-3.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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2.57Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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4.8University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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2.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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7.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.53University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.0% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Chapman Petersen | 30.5% | 25.3% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 9.8% | 1.7% |
| Will Cornell | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 6.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.0% | 26.8% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 39.6% | 15.8% |
| Luke Harris | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 14.0% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.