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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.76+1.46vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.47+0.41vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.32-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.03-1.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.66-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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7.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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2.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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4.41University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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3.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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5.9University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Petersen | 33.8% | 25.1% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 38.3% | 18.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 25.8% | 24.3% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.9% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.1% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 11.5% | 1.9% |
| Will Cornell | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 21.4% | 4.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 13.8% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.