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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rutgers University0.06+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.48vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.50-0.53vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.48-0.41vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.70-1.54vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.61-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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1.52University of Pennsylvania2.680.6%1st Place
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2.47Princeton University1.500.2%1st Place
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3.59Stevens Institute of Technology0.480.1%1st Place
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3.46Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.94Penn State University-3.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Richardson | 4.3% | 7.4% | 16.5% | 26.9% | 43.6% | 1.3% |
| Michael Russom | 61.9% | 27.4% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 20.0% | 35.6% | 26.7% | 13.1% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Samalot | 6.3% | 14.2% | 21.9% | 30.3% | 26.6% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 7.5% | 15.0% | 26.9% | 26.0% | 23.4% | 1.2% |
| Jacqueline Ligorski | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 96.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.