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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.76+1.42vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.85vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.47-1.50vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09-2.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
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4.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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5.85University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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7.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Petersen | 34.1% | 25.7% | 18.8% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.9% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 25.8% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 4.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Luke Harris | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 17.6% | 39.3% | 16.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.4% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 12.1% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.