← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.76+1.42vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington1.32+2.94vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.09+1.10vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+1.87vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California1.47-1.52vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+1.42vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.64-2.03vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.42Stanford University2.760.3%1st Place
-
4.94University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
-
2.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
-
5.1University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
-
6.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
4.48University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
5.97University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
-
4.02California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Petersen | 33.9% | 26.5% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 0.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.1% | 23.8% | 19.6% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 10.5% | 2.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 37.3% | 15.5% |
| Luke Harris | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 13.7% | 73.8% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 6.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.8% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.