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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.30vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.99vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+1.62vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.76vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-3.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+0.32vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.64-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University2.790.4%1st Place
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3.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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6.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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2.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.74University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 36.8% | 27.1% | 17.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 10.0% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 32.2% | 15.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 26.4% | 27.8% | 20.1% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 21.9% | 18.2% | 4.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 12.9% | 71.8% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.