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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.28vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+2.02vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.32+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.64-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.25vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Stanford University2.790.4%1st Place
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4.0California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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2.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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5.69University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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6.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 37.0% | 27.7% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.6% | 13.7% | 20.9% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Henry Boeger | 29.4% | 24.5% | 20.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 17.2% | 3.4% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 4.3% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 34.8% | 16.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 13.0% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.