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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+2.81vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.79+0.44vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.88vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.38+2.36vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.09-2.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-5.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.66-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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2.44Stanford University2.790.3%1st Place
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6.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Washington1.320.1%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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2.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.3% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 30.9% | 29.1% | 20.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 37.4% | 14.6% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 5.5% |
| Benjamin Stone | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 12.6% | 72.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 1.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 28.8% | 23.7% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.